Selil

A pretty simple project I’m working on is concept mapping domains. This is a reductionist effort (so therefore lossy) but it is kind of fun. Some of the basic rules are as follows. It has to be defined by being of the domain of land. Therefore, rivers, lakes and beaches would be part of the [...]

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I’m in Germany to speak at the Marshall Center tomorrow, and I’m going to be talking about technology and the threats caused by new technologies. I’m talking to the senior executive seminar attendees. The following are some pictures I took for my kids. I’ve got a presentation ready for the participants in the seminar here, [...]

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The following is purely fictional and speculation and to long to really read. It does not represent anything other than an attempt to use one pattern to identify a future pattern in a totally different set of situations. That means it is bull spit (BS). In reference, the collapse of the Soviet Union has many [...]

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RAND recently released the Counterinsurgency Scorecard: Afghanistan in early 2011 relative to the insurgencies of the past 30 years. I read this with considerable interest as the topic (insurgency) and methodology (Delphi study) interest me greatly. The use of experts to attempt to understand a domain or area of knowledge is specifically of interest to [...]

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The following is a critique of the new policy document introduced by the Whitehouse on May 16th. All elements of the attribution policy of this blog/website apply. Though I’m critical of the document in general it is consistent with previous work done by various entities. I do not see anything revolutionary in this document that [...]

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It is interesting to me when I see people with grand visions of the future of computing. I enjoy the excitement of some relatively arcane conceptual leap somebody makes regarding technology. I just rarely share that excitement. Most people when thinking about the future of technology simply don’t go far enough. Future thinking is looking [...]

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(From Ted.Com Conversations) We have seen that throughout time science is not merely affected but driven by the political climates of the present era. There are the overt controls put on science inquiry through legal exigencies and funding of scientific endeavor. There are the less overt but still plausible constraints of industrial funding of scientific [...]

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(From Ted.Com Conversations) The net generation isn’t necessarily a technology generation. You can point to surveys, you can point to various industry groups, but inherently there is a flaw in the expectations. Assumption that you can program a VCR (who has those anymore?) does not suggest that presence and collaborative spaces will reach people who [...]

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(From Ted.Com Conversations) The sophisticated technologists will likely look at Gibsons perspective from a networkcentric or computer enhanced position. Yet his writing was talking about consistent themes of the human condition. The computer has been with us in one form or another for thousands of years. We find ourselves in a new information revolution, or [...]

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(From Ted.Com Conversations) We have seen that throughout time science is not merely affected but driven by the political climates of the present era. There are the overt controls put on science inquiry through legal exigencies and funding of scientific endeavor. There are the less overt but still plausible constraints of industrial funding of scientific [...]

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(From Ted.Com Conversations) The artist and scientist are not the same. The artist seeks to find truth through the creative process unrestricted by rules or onerous conditions other than those that are self imposed. The scientist is fettered by the impossible achievement of truth while following the dictums of discipline. Into this shallow pool of [...]

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So each year I have a set of predictions that I put forward.  I started back in 2007, skipped a few years formalizing the process, but did so again last year. This year I have a few counter group think predictions, and a few that are obvious. So my scorecard for 2010?

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In “The Nine Nations of North America” by Joel Garreau his basic principles for what was in 1981 a radical notion and then became more mainstream was floated on a simple idea. There was no major sociological or political science behind his book. It was an idea that floated on wings of explanation. There was [...]

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I have a chapter in a new book out. The Kindle edition was just released and the print edition will soon be released. With a bevy of top authors and edited by Dan Abbott this book is one of the first comprehensive looks at post fourth generation warfare. My chapter is based on unified theories [...]

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